The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas Re-issue Edition (2008) - Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"But in all my experience, I have never been in any accident ... of any sort worth speaking about. I have seen but one vessel in distress in all my years at sea. I never saw a wreck and never have been wrecked nor was I ever in any predicament that threatened to end in disaster of any sort.

E.J. Smith, 1907, late Captain of RMS Titanic"